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WHAT NOW?

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War, Oil, and the Global Economy

Who Benefits From Rising Oil Prices?

Russia

Russia can benefit from rising oil prices because higher global prices increase the value of each exported barrel of oil. Even with sanctions in place, Russia has continued selling oil to buyers such as China and India, which helps sustain its energy revenues.

China

China benefits differently. Instead of exporting oil, China has been purchasing discounted Russian and Middle Eastern oil while also building large strategic reserves. This gives Chinese manufacturers access to relatively cheaper energy and strengthens the country’s long-term energy security.

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How This Could Affect the United States

The impact on the United States is mixed.

Higher oil prices can benefit American energy companies and domestic oil producers, particularly in regions such as Texas and North Dakota.

However, consumers may feel the downside through:

• Higher gasoline prices
• Increased transportation costs
• Rising airline and shipping expenses
• Inflation pressures across goods and services

If oil prices remain elevated for an extended period, they could slow consumer spending and complicate the Federal Reserve’s efforts to control inflation.

Why War Drives Oil Prices Higher

There are three primary reasons oil prices typically rise during geopolitical conflict:

Supply disruptions
War can threaten pipelines, refineries, and shipping routes. Key chokepoints such as the Strait of Hormuz carry a significant portion of the world’s oil supply, and any disruption there can cause immediate market volatility.

Market speculation and fear
When traders anticipate potential shortages, futures markets often drive prices higher even before actual supply disruptions occur.

Strategic stockpiling
Countries and energy companies may increase oil purchases during uncertain periods, pushing demand higher and tightening supply.

Bad news travels fast. Good fundamentals move quietly.
                  Education keeps you steady through both.

HISTORY OF WALLSTREET

HOW IT BEGAN

The New York Stock Exchange was established on May 17, 1792, when twenty-four stockbrokers and merchants from New City signed the Buttonwood Agreement. This signing took place outside Wall Street, beneath a Buttonwood tree near the Tine Coffee House, which served as a meeting similar to coffee houses in London.

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Wall Street Sign

Quote of the Month

If you don't build assets while you're young, you'll end up paying for liabilities your whole life.

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